Tennessee vs. Wisconsin Prediction & College Basketball Picks for 11/10

NCAA Best Bet Today #1: ⭐ Tennessee -2.5 (-110) at FanDuel

Tennessee had one of the most impressive preseason scrimmages, beating No. 4 Michigan State on the road 89-88 in what was essentially played as a regular-season game for charity. The Volunteers then dominated Tennessee Tech 80-42 as the newcomers looked comfortable with the established veterans. 

We like Tennessee -2.5 (-110) at FanDuel against Wisconsin. The Volunteers were able to have Zakai Zeigler return quickly from an ACL tear, and he sets the pace on offense with his speed and is elite at pressuring the ball on the defensive end. Santiago Vescovi is also back to provide stability in the backcourt. Transfers Dalton Knecht (Northern Colorado) and Jordan Gainey (USC Upstate) have quickly produced, with Knecht scoring 17 against Tennessee Tech and Gainey adding 14 points to lead the scoring. 

Tennessee has always traditionally been elite at the defensive end of the floor. In the last three years, starting in 2021, the Volunteers ranked fifth, third and first in KenPom's Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. 

Wisconsin does have the luxury of returning much of its rotation, but this group did struggle for much of last season. The Badgers shot just 46% from inside the arc. Wisconsin's Connor Esegian is also questionable to play due to a back injury, which only makes us lean towards Tennessee even more. 

Betting Pick: Tennessee -2.5 (-110) at FanDuel

NCAA Best Bet Today #2: ⭐ Under 132.5 (-110) at BetMGM

One thing Tennessee and Wisconsin share as programs is a hard-nosed defensive mentality. Tennesse has recently been one of the top defensive teams in the country. In 2020, the Volunteers ranked fifth in KenPom's Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, while in 2021, the Volunteers were third before leading the country in defensive efficiency last season. Meanwhile, Wisconsin has a slow-paced offense and has consistently ranked near the top in the Big Ten in defense over the past few seasons. 

We expect another low-scoring game between two defensive-minded teams. We're going with Under 132.5 (-110) at BetMGM. Wisconsin is one of the slowest teams in the country. The Badgers ranked 349th in seconds per possession (19.7) and 322nd in seconds per possession on defense (18.3). Now, with Wisconsin facing a proven defensive program in Tennessee, we expect more drawn-out possessions that will lead to a low-scoring affair. 

Tennessee is also slower on the offensive end. The Volunteers are 288th in adjusted tempo and 246th in offensive time of possession and 279th in defensive time of possessions. 

All signs point to the under for this matchup. 

Betting Pick: Under 132.5 (-110) at BetMGM

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