Utah vs. St. Marys Prediction & College Basketball Picks for 11/27

NCAA Best Bet Today #1: ⭐ Aidan Mahaney Over 14.5 Points (-128) at FanDuel

It's been an inconsistent start to the season for Saint Mary's Aidan Mahnaey. Projected as one of the top players in the WCC, Mahaney had a rough three-game stretch that coincided with the Gaels' struggles, with Mahaney making just 9 of 39 shots for 26 points in losses to Weber State, San Diego State and Xavier. 

We're backing Mahaney to continue to bounce back. We like Aidan Mahaney Over 14.5 Points (-128) at FanDuel. He recovered with a better game in Saint Mary's last contest, scoring 17 points on 6 of 10 shooting. He also went for 25 points in a win over New Mexico earlier in the season. 

Considering his rough stretch, we feel we're getting a discounted number on Mahaney's player prop number. He'll also get to face a Utes defense that isn't great. Utah is 149th in points allowed per game (71.2) and 19th in defensive effective field goal percentage (50.2%). The Utes also struggle to defend the 3, allowing opponents to 36% from beyond the arc, ranking 268th in the country in that category. Take the over on Mahaney's player prop point total.

Betting Pick: Aidan Mahaney Over 14.5 Points (-128) at FanDuel

NCAA Best Bet Today #2: ⭐ Branden Carlson Over 16.5 Points (-120) at BetMGM

Branden Carlson is one of the more unique matchups for defenses in college basketball. The Utah center stands at 7-0 but is not a traditional back-to-the-basket center. Carlson is shooting 38% from 3-point range this season while making almost two 3s a game and can handle the ball on the perimeter to create shot opportunities at the mid-range or to attack the rim. 

We're going with Branden Carlson Over 16.5 Points (-120) at BetMGM against Saint Mary's. Carlson has scored at least 17 points in each of his last three games, including 22 against Saint John's, 17 points versus Houston and 31 in a win over Wake Forest. In those three games, He's gotten up a total of 48 shots, which is ideal when looking to take an over on a player's point prop. 

Carlson should be able to space the floor with his shooting and score off the dribble against Saint Mary's Mitchell Saxen, who is more accustomed to defending the paint as a traditional big. Carlson's size and athleticism make him a mismatch problem for a Gaels defense that has struggled early on this season in losses to San Diego State and Xavier.

Betting Pick: Branden Carlson Over 16.5 Points (-120) at BetMGM

NCAA Best Bet Today #3: ⭐ Mitchell Saxen Under 10.5 Points (-113) at FanDuel

This prop total feels to high for Mitchell Saxen. We're going to look to fade Saxen and take the under on his player point total for Monday's game against Utah. 

We like Mitchell Saxen Under 10.5 Points (-113) at FanDuel. Saxen has scored under 10 points in three of the five games against Division I opponents this season, recording just eight points against Webser State, seven versus New Mexico and finishing with six points in the loss to Xavier. 

Besides having to deal with the athleticism of Utah's 7-0 center Carlson inside, Saxen has struggled with foul trouble this season, resulting in fewer minutes for him. He's had at least three fouls in four of his last five games which limits his scoring opportunities. He's played 30 minutes just once this season, and that was against San Diego State when he scored 16 points. Considering his foul issues and lack of offensive production, we're going to take the under on Saxen's player point prop against Utah.

Betting Pick: Mitchell Saxen Under 10.5 Points (-113) at FanDuel

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