NBA Picks: Bet on Surging Kevin Durant, Nets Against Wizards

Prop Bets to Consider Today

The player prop bets are 59-49 making $736 for the season wagering $50 per prop. 

Washington Wizards vs Brooklyn Nets

7:30 EDT Tip-Off 

Line: Nets - 6  Total 226 points 

I am betting on the Nets -6-points at DraftKings Sportsbook and is a valid bet up to and including –7.5 points tonight 

Thanks to Kevin Durant’s 45 points, the Brooklyn Nets are now back at .500 for the season at 11-11. Durant posted his eighth 40+ point game with the Nets and his 63^rd of his career and was 8-for-9 scoring 18 points in the third period.

The Washington Wizards ended a three-game skid to stay above the .500 mark at 11-10 with a resounding 142-127 home win over the Minnesota Timberwolves. Kristaps Porzingis scored a career-high 41 points in just 31 minutes for the Wizards, who never trailed in the win and led by as many as 28 points.

The following situational trends and angles from my predictive model support a best bet on the Nets.

• The Wizards ar 6-19-1against the spread following two straight games in which they had at least seven fewer turnovers than their opponent in each game.
• The Wizards are 8-19 ATS coming off an upset home win by 15 or more points.
• The Wizards are 6-11 ATS coming off an upset home win and now on the road with a total of at least 220 points.

Other Games on My Radar 

Miami +9.5 vs Boston

• The Heat are 34-19-1 ATS following a game in which a combined 205 or fewer points were scored spanning the last three seasons.

Trail Blazers +5.5 vs LA Lakers

• The Lakers are a money-burning 2-11 ATS after having won five of their last seven games over the past three seasons.