NBA Picks: Can the Warriors Turn Back into the Warriors?

Best Prop Bets on Today's Schedule

The player prop bets are 36-30 making $489.50 for the season wagering $50 per prop. 

San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors 

10 p.m. ET

Line: Warriors -7.5; Total: 233 points 

I am betting on the Warriors taking the points at BetMGM.

The Warriors are 5-8 straight up (SU) and 4-9 against the spread (ATS) and are getting outscored by an average of 3.70 points per game. 

They are coming off a 122-115 loss to the Sacramento Kings which was the first of a two-game road/home back-to-back schedule against the Kings. 

Golden State has lost six of its last eight games. The fact that is in 13th of the 15-team Western Conference on defense should be enough motivation for this game. 

The following situational trends and angles support a best bet on the Warriors minus the points. 

• The Warriors are 34-18-1 against the spread (65%) when facing teams that average 24 or fewer free throws per game over the past two seasons.
• The Warriors are 25-11 ATS in home games following one or consecutive losses over the past three seasons.
• From my predictive model, the Warriors are 51-5 SU and 48-7 ATS when shooting 48% or better from the field and having the better assist-to-turnover ratio over the past three seasons.

Other Games worth Considering Today

Los Angeles Clippers -5 at Houston Rockets 

• The Rockets are 13-28-1 ATS when facing a solid defensive team allowing 108 or fewer points per game over the past two seasons.

Atlanta Hawks at Milwaukee Bucks -4

• The Hawks are 2-13 ATS in road games and taking on a solid opponent that is outscoring their foes by at least three points per game over the past two seasons.