WNBA Player Props & WNBA Best Bets Today, WNBA Betting Picks for 07/27

• Date: Thursday, July 27, 2023, 3:30 PM ET
• Location: Crypto Arena in Los Angeles, California
• TV:  NBA TV, YouTube TV
• My best bet: Aliyah Boston Under 13.5 Points (-128) at FanDuel

The first game of the day features the Indiana Fever traveling to take on the Los Angeles Sparks at 3:30 p.m. EDT. It's not exactly a clash of the titans with the Fever last in the eastern conference at 6-17 and the Sparks not much better at 8-15. Despite the records, it doesn't mean there isn't betting value out there. 

Indiana's Aliyah Boston was a deserving all-star in her rookie season. The 2023 no. 1 pick is averaging 14.5 points and 7.9 rebounds but has seen her usage dip recently. On the season, her usage rate is just 18.8% despite her solid numbers. The low usage rate has resulted in Boston putting up numbers well below her average. Over the the last four games, she's scored just nine, six, 11 and six points during that span and averaged just 6.5 shot attempts during those games.  

Indiana not prioritizing Boston as they should has us confident in betting Boston Under 13.5 Points (-128) at FanDuel. In her last game against the Sparks on Tuesday, Boston had just nine points on 3 of nine shooting despite playing 26 minutes. With Indiana not making Boston a focal point of the offense, we like her under on Thursday. 

Recommended Bet: Aliyah Boston Under 13.5 Points (-128) at FanDuel

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⭐ Indiana Fever at Los Angeles Sparks: Fever +3.5 (-110) at bet365

Both the Indiana Fever and Los Angeles Sparks are not good teams. There is no other way to explain it or excuse the Fever's 6-17 record, or the Sparks' mark of 8-15. When these two play, it should essentially be a pick-em, and the game between the two on Tuesday played out exactly that way with the Sparks edging out a 79-78 win, giving Indiana the cover of +4.5.

With two bad teams matching up so evenly and playing a one-point game, we're more than happy to take the Fever getting +3.5 points against the Sparks. The spread numbers for the Sparks aren't great, either. Los Angeles is 0-4-1 against the spread in its last five games and just 1-4 against the spread in its last five games against Indiana. Meanwhile, Indiana is 4-1 against the spread in its last five games. 

When it comes to these back-to-back rematches with two teams facing off again in a matter of a couple of days, we feel more comfortable backing the team that is coming off a loss, given the winning group is more likely to suffer from complacency. Los Angeles also needed a 30-point performance from Nneka Ogwumike to earn the one-point win. Look for Indiana to adjust this time around and limit her production on Thursday, and the Fever to cover +3.5 (-110) at bet365..

Recommended Bet: Indiana Fever at Los Angeles Sparks: Fever +3.5 (-110) at bet365

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• ⭐ Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty Over 173.5 (-113) at FanDuel

The second game of the WNBA Thursday schedule has us targeting the total. Both the Atlanta Dream and New York Liberty excel in different offensive metrics that have us leaning towards the Atlanta Dream and New York Liberty going over 173.5 (-113) at FanDuel.

New York is second in the league in offensive rating (107.6) and points per game (88.7), while the Dream are fourth in points per game at (85) and lead the league in pace at 100.36. The Liberty also play at an uptempo rate, ranking fifth in the league in pace (97.92). These facets of each team should lead to a high-scoring game. 

The over in New York's last five games is 4-0-1 with the Liberty's 86-82 win over the Seattle Storm on Tuesday resulting in a push. Atlanta's fast-paced style should lend this game to having more scoring opportunities for each team, and given the Liberty's efficiency, expect New York to continue its run of scoring. 

Recommended Bet: Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty Over 173.5 (-113) at FanDuel

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