Donald Trump 2024 Odds: Former President Soars Ahead Of Joe Biden

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Donald Trump 2024 Odds: Former President Soars Ahead Of Joe Biden
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UK betting sites have shortened their odds on Donald Trump winning the 2024 US election to a record-low price in the aftermath of the failed assassination attempt on the ex-president.

Mr Trump, 78, was shot in the ear during a rally in Pennsylvania. He fled the scene with his fist raised in defiance and was discharged from hospital shortly after the incident.

Both Mr Trump and his political adversary Joe Biden have called for 'unity' in the aftermath of the shooting as politicians, supporters and the general public figure out what happens next.

It’s possible that the ferocious tone of the presidential race may subside somewhat, but what’s already clear is that Mr Trump's odds of winning have improved since the attempt on his life.

Indeed, some Political betting sites now believe the Republican's chances of winning the election have shot up to 80%.

Meanwhile, the latest Joe Biden odds have expanded to another high amid concerns he is too old to run the country.

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Donald Trump Odds

The current politics betting landscape is certainly one to watch. Mr Trump has led Mr Biden in the betting to be the next president for the best part of two years.

He had already carved open a significant odds and poll lead over the president following the first TV debate between the pair, which Trump won hands-down.

The weekend Mr Trump was shot had been one dominated by uncertainty over Mr Biden’s longevity. 

There are Democrats who think he should step down, in time for a replacement candidate to run against Mr Trump.

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All that noise was wiped clear when a gunman opened fire on Mr Trump. The news cycle is now squarely in his spotlight and Mr Trump, ever the politician he is, has managed to use the incident to recharge support for his campaign.

Betting site Unibet crushed their odds on a Trump win this autumn from 1/2 to 1/4 in the aftermath of the shooting.

Meanwhile, Mr Biden’s odds have leapt to 4/1.

Will Trump Win The Election?

The shift in odds highlights the growing expectation among bettors and betting sites that Mr Trump is on course to win the presidential election, perhaps at a canter.

He is already ahead of Mr Biden in most swing states and before the shooting had a three-point lead in the polls.

Republican voters appear more determined to back their man than Democrats do Mr Biden, so voter apathy could become a major issue for the Dems this autumn.

What’s more, Mr Trump will be painted as a martyr among many Americans even if he chooses not to play up to that image. 

He has the opportunity now to call for unity and bring many centrist or undecided voters into his camp.

Not that he wasn’t in a good political position before the assassination attempt. 

Mr Trump has been polling better than his adversary for a long time and recently won a big legal reprieve with the Supreme Court’s ruling that presidents working on official duties can have some immunity from prosecution.

This calls into question a number of criminal charges against the former president and means trials – such as the January 6 case – may be pushed back until after the election.

At this stage, it’s hard to see how Mr Trump doesn’t win the election. He has the nationwide poll numbers in his favour, most swing states, is against an opponent many believe can’t run the country, and now has the opportunity to act as a unifying presence in US politics.

The Biden camp, meanwhile, has nothing much more to give other than hope. But in an election against Trump, you can’t afford to simply sit there with your fingers crossed.

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