NL Rookie of the Year 7/21 Predictions, Analysis, Odds

The National League Rookie of the Year odds look lopsided, but the second-place player isn’t going down quietly. 

This award, realistically, is a two-player race, so we’ll focus on those two below. 

The third place has MLB betting odds of +3000, so the chances of something occurring are minimal.

Below, we’ll try to see if there’s any betting line value here. 

Favorites for the 2023 NL Rookie of the Year Award

Corbin Carroll, Arizona Diamondbacks

6/23/23 Hitting Stats: .298/.379/.576, 16 HRs, 40 RBIs, 56 Ks, 78 Hits

7/21/23 Hitting Stats: .283/.361/.539, 19 HRs, 51 RBIs, 77 Ks, 94 Hits, 29 SB

6/23/23 Odds: DraftKings Sportsbook (-550)

7/21/23 Odds: DraftKings Sportsbook (-500)

Carroll still holds the top spot in the race thanks to his ability to hold steady and keep his statistics consistent. His average has dropped a bit since our last check-in a month ago, but it’s only been 15 points while approaching 20 home runs and stealing several bases.

Also, it’s not on the stats listed above, but he did recently turn a dropped third strike into a triple, so that’s quite an accomplishment. 

Barring injury, it’s hard to imagine Carroll dropping this race.

Elly De La Cruz, Cincinnati Reds

6/23/23 Hitting Stats: .321/.387/.536, 2 HRs, 6 RBIs, 19 Ks, 18 Hits

7/21/23 Hitting Stats: .279/.321/.442, 4 HRs, 16 RBIs, 51 Ks, 43 Hits, 17 SB

6/23/23 Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook (+950)

7/21/23 Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook (+950)

As you’ll see from our June 23 check-in, De La Cruz was getting on base and generating some valuable hits. 

Now, a month later or so, his average has dropped from .321 to .279, and his on-base percentage is lower than his batting average on June 23. 

His odds have remained the same because he’s really the only other candidate of note, but his statistics are drying up, so it’s hard to endorse a wager on him here.